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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 146 No. 2 2022

Count (and count-like) data in finance

Jonathan B. Cohn1; Zack Liu2; Malcolm Wardlaw3

1 The University of Texas at Austin · 2 University of Houston · 3 University of Georgia

Abstract

This paper assesses different econometric approaches to working with count-based outcome variables and other outcomes with similar distributions, which are increasingly common in corporate finance applications. We demonstrate that the common practice of estimating linear regressions of the log of 1 plus the outcome produces estimates with no natural interpretation that can have the wrong sign in expectation. In contrast, a simple fixed-effects Poisson model produces consistent and reasonably efficient estimates under more general conditions than commonly assumed. We also show through replication of existing papers that economic conclusions can be highly sensitive to the regression model employed.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2022.08.004
Volume
146
Issue
2
Pages
529-551
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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