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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 143 No. 3 2022

Outlier blindness: A neurobiological foundation for neglect of financial risk

Elise Payzan-LeNestour; Michael Woodford1

1 Columbia University

Abstract

How do people record information about the outcomes they observe in their environment? Building on a well-established neuroscientific framework, we propose a model in which people are hampered in their perception of outcomes that they expect to seldom encounter. We provide experimental evidence for such “outlier blindness” and discuss how it provides a microfoundation for neglected tail risk by investors in financial markets.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.06.019
Volume
143
Issue
3
Pages
1316-1343
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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