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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 121 No. 1 2016

Accruals, cash flows, and operating profitability in the cross section of stock returns

Ray Ball1; Joseph Gerakos1; Juhani T. Linnainmaa2,3; Valeri V. Nikolaev1

1 University of Chicago · 2 National Bureau of Economic Research · 3 University of Southern California

Abstract

Accruals are the non-cash component of earnings. They represent adjustments made to cash flows to generate a profit measure largely unaffected by the timing of receipts and payments of cash. Prior research uncovers two anomalies: expected returns increase in profitability and decrease in accruals. We show that cash-based operating profitability (a measure that excludes accruals) outperforms measures of profitability that include accruals. Further, cash-based operating profitability subsumes accruals in predicting the cross section of average returns. An investor can increase a strategy’s Sharpe ratio more by adding just a cash-based operating profitability factor to the investment opportunity set than by adding both an accruals factor and a profitability factor that includes accruals.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.03.002
Volume
121
Issue
1
Pages
28-45
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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