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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 171 2025

CRISK: Measuring the climate risk exposure of the financial system

Hyeyoon Jung1; Robert F. Engle2; Richard Berner2

1 Federal Reserve Bank of New York · 2 Faculty of 1000 (United States)

Abstract

We develop a market-based methodology to assess banks’ resilience to climate-related risks and study the climate-related risk exposure of large global banks. We introduce a new measure, CRISK, which is the expected capital shortfall of a bank in a climate stress scenario. To estimate CRISK, we construct climate risk factors and dynamically measure banks’ stock return sensitivity (that is, climate beta) to the climate risk factor. We validate the climate risk factor empirically and the climate beta estimates by using granular data on large US banks’ loan portfolios. The measure is useful in quantifying banks’ climate-related risk exposure through the market risk and the credit risk channels.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104076
Volume
171
Pages
104076
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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