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Journal of Financial Intermediation Vol. 19 No. 3 2010

Liquidity and leverage

Tobias Adrian1; Hyun Song Shin2

1 Federal Reserve Bank of New York · 2 Princeton University

open access

Abstract

In a financial system in which balance sheets are continuously marked to market, asset price changes appear immediately as changes in net worth, and eliciting responses from financial intermediaries who adjust the size of their balance sheets. We document evidence that marked-to-market leverage is strongly procyclical. Such behavior has aggregate consequences. Changes in dealer repos – the primary margin of adjustment for the aggregate balance sheets of intermediaries – forecast changes in financial market risk as measured by the innovations in the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index VIX index. Aggregate liquidity can be seen as the rate of change of the aggregate balance sheet of the financial intermediaries.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfi.2008.12.002
Volume
19
Issue
3
Pages
418-437
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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