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Journal of Financial Intermediation Vol. 24 No. 1 2015

Equity short selling and bond rating downgrades

Tyler R. Henry1; Darren J. Kisgen2; Juan Wu3

1 Miami University · 2 Boston College · 3 University of Georgia

Abstract

We examine whether short sellers identify firms that have significant changes in default likelihoods and credit rating downgrades. In the month before a rating downgrade, equity short interest is 40% higher than one year prior. Short sellers predict changes in default probabilities that lead to downgrades by focusing on firms with inaccurate or biased ratings. This strategy is profitable for short sellers primarily since downgrades are associated with significantly negative equity returns. Short sellers also facilitate price discovery by reducing abnormal stock returns following downgrades and by leading bond yield spreads.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfi.2014.02.005
Volume
24
Issue
1
Pages
89-111
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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