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Journal of Financial Stability Vol. 8 No. 1 2012

Provisioning rules and bank lending: A theoretical model

Vincent Bouvatier; Laetitia Lepetit

Abstract

This paper develops a partial equilibrium model of a banking firm to analyze how provisioning rules influence loan market fluctuations. We show that a backward-looking provisioning system amplifies the pro-cyclicality of loan market fluctuations. We demonstrate that, in a forward-looking provisioning system where statistical provisions are used to smooth the evolution of total loan loss provisions, the issue of pro-cyclicality of loan market fluctuations does not exist. Our results support the recent call of the Basel Committee for the implementation of a forward-looking provisioning system to address procyclicality.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfs.2011.04.001
Volume
8
Issue
1
Pages
25-31
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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