← Search

Journal of Financial Stability Vol. 80 2025

Real estate transaction taxes and credit supply

Michael Koetter1,2; Petr Marek3; A. Mavropoulos1

1 Halle Institute for Economic Research · 2 Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg · 3 Deutsche Bundesbank

open access

Abstract

We exploit staggered real estate transaction tax (RETT) hikes across German states to identify the effect on the growth rates of regional house prices and outstanding mortgage loans by all local German banks. The results show that a RETT hike by one percentage point reduces regional house prices by 3%–4%. Furthermore, IV-regressions yield that a 1 percentage point drop in regional house prices induced by a RETT increase leads to a 0.3% decline in regional mortgage lending, particularly among low-capitalized banks in rural regions.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfs.2025.101436
Volume
80
Pages
101436
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

Cite