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Journal of Financial Stability Vol. 60 2022

Central bank digital currency: A review and some macro-financial implications

Hongyi Chen1; Pierre L. Siklos2,3

1 Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research, Hong Kong · 2 Wilfrid Laurier University · 3 Balsillie School of International Affairs

Abstract

Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC) have attracted considerable interest and its deployment on a global scale is imminent. However, CBDC face several challenges. They include: legal, technological, and political considerations. We summarize those challenges and add a few more that have not received much attention in the literature. We then focus on two forms of CBDC: a narrow version that only replaces notes and coins and a broader form with a deposit feature. The narrow CBDC is the most likely one to be first introduced. Next, relying on evidence of past episodes of financial innovation, and using cross-country data, we explore the hypothetical impact of CBDC on inflation and financial stability, based on the historical behaviour of the velocity of circulation and incorporating a CBDC’s impact using McCallum’s policy rule which sets the stance of monetary policy based on money growth. Our simulations suggest that CBDC need not produce higher inflation, but financial stability remains at risk. We provide some policy implications.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfs.2022.100985
Volume
60
Pages
100985
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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