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Journal of Financial Stability Vol. 67 2023

Fiscal support and banks’ loan loss provisions during the COVID-19 crisis

Hans Degryse1,2; Cédric Huylebroek3,2

1 Centre for Economic Policy Research · 2 KU Leuven · 3 Research Foundation - Flanders

open access

Abstract

We study the effect of governments’ fiscal support on banks’ loan loss provisioning during the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, we decompose fiscal support into direct support and liquidity support to examine the effect of different types of support measures on banks’ loan loss provisioning. Direct support generally refers to cash transfers, tax reliefs, and tax deferrals, while liquidity support generally refers to government-backed loans and equity injections. We find that direct support reduced banks’ loan portfolio risk whereas liquidity support did not. Moreover, we find the effect goes beyond a macroeconomic stabilization effect, suggesting that direct support directly contributed to mitigating banks’ loan portfolio risk during the pandemic. Our results are robust to controlling for other policy interventions, alternative model specifications, and an instrumental variable approach. We further discuss the policy implications of our analysis.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfs.2023.101150
Volume
67
Pages
101150
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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