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Journal of Financial Stability Vol. 43 2019

The financial market effects of the ECB's asset purchase programs

Vivien Lewis; M. Roth

Deutsche Bundesbank

Abstract

The European Central Bank's asset purchase programs, while intended to stabilize the economy, may have unintended side effects on financial stability. This paper aims at gauging the effects on financial markets, the banking sector, and lending to non-financial firms. Using a structural vector autoregression analysis, we find a positive effect on output and, after some delay, also on prices in Germany. At the same time, financial stress increases significantly, driven by stock market volatility, higher liquidity premiums and contagion risks. Bank lending in Germany and in the euro area periphery expands, even though borrowing does not become cheaper. This might indicate that more credit is extended to riskier borrowers.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfs.2019.05.001
Volume
43
Pages
40-52
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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