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Journal of Financial Stability Vol. 76 2025

Banking supervisory architecture and sovereign risk

Pedro J. Cuadros-Solas; Carlos Salvador1; Nuria Suárez2

1 Universitat de València · 2 Universidad Autónoma de Madrid

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the design of the banking supervisory architecture impacts sovereign risk. Exploiting the implementation of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) in Europe, we provide evidence that sovereign risk – measured by sovereign ratings – is lower after the largest banks shift from national to supranational supervision. The impact of SSM implementation is shaped by the characteristics of the banking sector and the country’s institutional setting. Using specific bank-level data, we also find that increased bank resilience (banking stability) and reduced volatility of bank credit (credit stability) in the economy underlie the relationship between banking supervision and sovereign risk. The results hold when considering CDS spreads as an alternative measure of sovereign risk and after conducting several robustness tests.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101365
Volume
76
Pages
101365
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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