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Journal of Financial Stability Vol. 50 2020

Sovereign bonds, coskewness, and monetary policy regimes

Yulin Li; John K. Wald1; Zijun Wang1

1 The University of Texas at San Antonio

Abstract

Consistent with flight-to-quality, the coskewness between developed market sovereign bonds and global equity markets can help explain bond returns. A coskewness factor, defined as the return difference between the most negative coskewness bond portfolio and the most positive coskewness bond portfolio, carries a statistically significant unit price of risk of 43.8 basis points per month. Decreases in coskewness are also significantly associated with declines in bond yields. Coskewness declines during recessions when interest rates become low. Moreover, countries with a monetary policy regime which explicitly targets monetary aggregates have lower coskewness.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfs.2020.100783
Volume
50
Pages
100783
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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