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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 55 No. 3 2020

Volatility and Expected Option Returns

Guanglian Hu1; Kris Jacobs2

1 Hu · 2 Jacobs (United States)

Abstract

We analyze the relation between expected option returns and the volatility of the underlying securities. The expected return from holding a call (put) option is a decreasing (increasing) function of the volatility of the underlying. These predictions are supported by the data. In the cross section of equity option returns, returns on call (put) option portfolios decrease (increase) with underlying stock volatility. This finding is not due to cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns. It holds in various option samples with different maturities and moneyness, and is robust to alternative measures of underlying volatility and different weighting methods.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109019000310
Volume
55
Issue
3
Pages
1025-1060
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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