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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 59 No. 6 2024

The Smart Beta Mirage

Shiyang Huang1; Yang Song2,1; Hong Xiang3,1

1 University of Hong Kong · 2 University of Washington · 3 Hong Kong Polytechnic University

open access

Abstract

We document and explain the sharp performance deterioration of smart beta indexes after the corresponding exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are launched for investment. While smart beta is purported to deliver excess returns through factor exposures, the market-adjusted return of smart beta indexes drops from about 3% “on paper” before ETF listings to about −0.50% to −1% after ETF listings. This performance decline cannot be explained by variation in factor premia, strategic timing, or diminishing returns to scale. Instead, we find strong evidence of data mining in the construction of smart beta indexes, which helps ETFs attract flows, as investors respond positively to backtests.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109023000674
Volume
59
Issue
6
Pages
2515-2546
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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