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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 52 No. 3 2017

Short-Term Interest Rates and Stock Market Anomalies

Paulo F. Maio1; Pedro Santa-Clara

1 Hanken School of Economics

Abstract

We present a simple 2-factor model that helps explain several capital asset pricing model (CAPM) anomalies (value premium, return reversal, equity duration, asset growth, and inventory growth). The model is consistent with Merton’s intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM) framework, and the key risk factor is the innovation on a short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate, or the T-bill rate. This model explains a large fraction of the dispersion in the average returns of the joint market anomalies. Moreover, the model compares favorably with alternative multifactor models widely used in the literature. Hence, short-term interest rates seem to be relevant for explaining several dimensions of cross-sectional equity risk premia.

DOI
10.1017/s002210901700028x
Volume
52
Issue
3
Pages
927-961
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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