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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 57 No. 8 2022

Exporting Uncertainty: The Impact of Brexit on Corporate America

Murillo Campello1,2,3; Gustavo S. Cortes; Fabrício d’Almeida4; Gaurav Kankanhalli5

1 Cornell University · 2 Johnson University · 3 SC Johnson (United States) · 4 Purdue University Krannert School of · 5 University of Pittsburgh

open access

Abstract

We show that the 2016 Brexit Referendum had multifaceted consequences for corporate America, shaping employment, investment, divestitures, R&D, and savings. The unexpected vote outcome led U.S. firms to cut jobs and investment within U.S. borders. Using establishment-level data, we document that these effects were modulated by the reversibility of capital and labor. American-based job destruction was particularly pronounced in industries with less skilled and more unionized workers. U.K.-exposed firms with less redeployable capital and high input-offshoring dependence cut investment the most. Data on the near universe of U.S. establishments also point to measurable, negative effects on establishment turnover (openings and closings). Our results demonstrate how foreign-born political uncertainty is transmitted across international borders, shaping domestic capital formation and labor allocation.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109022000308
Volume
57
Issue
8
Pages
3178-3222
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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