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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 51 No. 2 2016

Gambling Preferences, Options Markets, and Volatility

Benjamin M. Blau; T. Boone Bowles; Ryan J. Whitby

Utah State University

open access

Abstract

This study examines whether the gambling behavior of investors affects volume and volatility in financial markets. Focusing on the options market, we find that the ratio of call option volume relative to total option volume is greatest for stocks with return distributions that resemble lotteries. Consistent with the theoretical predictions of Stein (1987), we demonstrate that gambling-motivated trading in the options market influences future spot price volatility. These results not only identify a link between lottery preferences in the stock market and the options market, but they also suggest that lottery preferences can lead to destabilized stock prices.

DOI
10.1017/s002210901600020x
Volume
51
Issue
2
Pages
515-540
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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