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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 59 No. 3 2024

One Vol to Rule Them All: Common Volatility Dynamics in Factor Returns

Nishad Kapadia1; Matthew Linn2; Bradley S. Paye3

1 Tulane University · 2 University of Massachusetts Amherst · 3 Virginia Tech

Abstract

We show that a common component governs volatility dynamics across a wide range of traded equity factors. This “common factor volatility” (CFV) exists even among orthogonal factors. CFV occurs in both cash-flow and discount-rate components of factor returns and derives from market responses to fundamental news rather than underlying commonality in news volatility. Incorporating CFV improves factor volatility forecasts relative to models that include only own-factor volatility. CFV allows us to characterize stochastic discount factor (SDF) volatility dynamics in a very general sense and we show that many popular models imply SDFs with time-varying volatility that correlates strongly with CFV.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109023000443
Volume
59
Issue
3
Pages
1185-1212
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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