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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 56 No. 6 2021

Income Fluctuations and Firm Choice

Scott Baker1,2; Brian Baugh3; Lorenz Kueng1,4,5,6

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 Kellogg's (Canada) · 3 University of Nebraska–Lincoln · 4 Centre for Economic Policy Research · 5 Swiss Finance Institute · 6 Università della Svizzera italiana

open access

Abstract

How households shift spending across firms in response to income fluctuations is an important source of firm risk. Using transaction-level data, we study how households interact with the universe of retailers following income changes. We find that income increases within and across households result in substitution toward retailers in a category that are higher quality; smaller; more profitable; and have higher labor intensity, research and development (R&D) intensity, and equity betas. Although not all shifts are economically large, they do not average out across retailers. Thus, retailer choice has implications for key financial and macroeconomic outcomes, such as aggregate profitability and labor demand.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109020000526
Volume
56
Issue
6
Pages
2208-2236
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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