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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 56 No. 6 2021

Why Did the Investment–Cash Flow Sensitivity Decline over Time?

Zhen Wang1; Chu Zhang2

1 Shanghai University · 2 Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Abstract

We propose an explanation for why corporate investment used to be sensitive to cash flow and why the sensitivity declined over time. The sensitivity stems from the informational role of cash flow in inferring the productivity of tangible capital in the old economy. Over time, however, more new-economy firms enter the market. These firms have reduced tangible capital productivity and reduced cash-flow predictability, which drives the decline in the average investment–cash flow sensitivity. Theoretical and empirical analyses support this explanation.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109020000617
Volume
56
Issue
6
Pages
2272-2308
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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