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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 47 No. 3 2012

A New Method to Estimate Risk and Return of Nontraded Assets from Cash Flows: The Case of Private Equity Funds

Joost Driessen1; Tse-Chun Lin2; Ludovic Phalippou3

1 Tilburg University · 2 University of Hong Kong · 3 University of Oxford

Abstract

We develop a new methodology to estimate abnormal performance and risk exposure of nontraded assets from cash flows. Our methodology extends the standard internal rate of return approach to a dynamic setting. The small-sample properties are validated using a simulation study. We apply the method to a sample of 958 private equity funds. For venture capital funds, we find a high market beta and underperformance before and after fees. For buyout funds, we find a relatively low market beta and no evidence for outperformance. We find that self-reported net asset values significantly overstate fund values for mature and inactive funds.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109012000221
Volume
47
Issue
3
Pages
511-535
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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