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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 56 No. 2 2021

Government Employment Guarantee, Labor Supply, and Firms’ Reaction: Evidence from the Largest Public Workfare Program in the World

Sumit Agarwal1; Shashwat Alok2; Yakshup Chopra3; Prasanna L Tantri2

1 National University · 2 Indian School of Business · 3 Washington University in St. Louis

Abstract

Using establishment-level data, we examine the impact of the Indian government’s employment guarantee program on labor and firm behavior. We exploit the staggered implementation of the program for identification and find that the program led to a 10% reduction in the permanent workforce in firms. Firms responded to the adverse labor-supply shock by resorting to increased mechanization. This significantly increased the firms’ cost of production, leading to a decline in net profits and productivity. These effects manifested primarily in firms paying low wages, firms having low labor productivity and greater sales volatility, and firms located in states with pro-employer labor regulations.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109020000186
Volume
56
Issue
2
Pages
409-442
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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