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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 55 No. 5 2020

Investor Sentiment and Employment

Maurizio Montone1; Remco C. J. Zwinkels2

1 Montone · 2 Zwinkels

open access

Abstract

We develop a multi-country model with moral hazard and noise traders and show that investor sentiment should affect employment growth both domestically and abroad. Using a large sample of international industry-level data, we find strong support for the model’s predictions. We show that U.S. investor sentiment has a positive association with labor market conditions around the world, due to spillover effects as well as foreign direct investments from the United States. We also find that U.S. sentiment amplifies the negative effect of local financial crises on job losses, which supports the idea that financial development has a “dark side.”

DOI
10.1017/s0022109019000711
Volume
55
Issue
5
Pages
1581-1618
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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