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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 60 No. 1 2025

Is Carbon Risk Priced in the Cross Section of Corporate Bond Returns?

Tinghua Duan1; Frank Weikai Li2; Quan Wen3

1 IESEG School of Management · 2 Singapore Management University Lee Kong Chian School of Business · 3 Georgetown University McDonough School of Business

open access

Abstract

This article examines the pricing of a firm’s carbon risk in the corporate bond market. Contrary to the “carbon risk premium” hypothesis, bonds of more carbon-intensive firms earn significantly lower returns. This effect cannot be explained by a comprehensive list of bond characteristics and exposure to known risk factors. Investigating sources of the low carbon alpha, we find the underperformance of bonds issued by carbon-intensive firms cannot be fully explained by divestment from institutional investors. Instead, our evidence is most consistent with investor underreaction to the predictability of carbon intensity for firm cash-flow news, creditworthiness, and environmental incidents.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109023000832
Volume
60
Issue
1
Pages
1-35
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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