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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 58 No. 8 2023

Quadrophobia: Strategic Rounding of EPS Data

Nadya Malenko; Joseph A. Grundfest; Yao Shen

Abstract

Managers’ incentives to round up reported earnings per share (EPS) cause an underrepresentation of the number 4 in the first post-decimal digit of EPS, or “quadrophobia.” We develop a novel measure of aggressive financial reporting practices based on a firm’s history of quadrophobia. Quadrophobia is pervasive, persistent, and successfully predicts future restatements, Securities and Exchange Commission enforcement actions, and class action litigation. It is more pronounced when executive compensation is more closely tied to the stock price and when the firm anticipates violating debt covenants. Quadrophobia is especially strong when rounding-up EPS allows firms to meet analyst expectations, and investors seem not to see through this behavior.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109022001375
Volume
58
Issue
8
Pages
3231-3273
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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