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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 46 No. 6 2011

Do Investors See through Mistakes in Reported Earnings?

Katsiaryna Salavei Bardos1; Joseph H. Golec2; John P. Harding2

1 Fairfield University · 2 University of Connecticut

open access

Abstract

This study investigates whether investors see through materially misstated earnings, and whether they anticipate earnings restatements. For firms that restate at least one annual report, we find that investors are misled by mistakes in reported earnings at the time of initial earnings announcements. Investors react positively to the component of the favorable earnings surprise that will subsequently be restated, and they attach the same valuation to it as to the true earnings surprise. We also find that investors anticipate the subsequent downward restatements and start marking stock prices down several months before a restatement announcement, so that the full impact of a restatement is about three times as large as the restatement announcement effect. Indeed, we show that investors punish restating firms because the stock price gains that shareholders enjoy when firms initially announce overstated earnings are more than reversed by the time of the restatement announcement.

DOI
10.1017/s0022109011000470
Volume
46
Issue
6
Pages
1917-1946
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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