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Journal of Labor Economics Vol. 43 No. S1 2025

Robust Inference for the Frisch Labor Supply Elasticity

Michael P. Keane1,2; Timothy Neal3

1 Johns Hopkins University · 2 Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory · 3 UNSW

Abstract

Many studies estimate the Frisch elasticity via two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression of hours changes on wage changes. However, 2SLS suffers from a power asymmetry problem that makes estimates far away from ordinary least squares appear spuriously imprecise. Hence, it is difficult for t-tests to detect a positive Frisch elasticity. We illustrate the problem using NLSY97 data. We estimate an elasticity of 0.60 for young men, but the t-test indicates that it is insignificant. The Anderson-Rubin (AR) test, which avoids the power asymmetry problem, indicates that it is highly significant. We argue that the AR test should be widely adopted in lieu of the t-test in instrumental variable applications.

DOI
10.1086/732771
Volume
43
Issue
S1
Pages
S179-S219
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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