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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 132 No. 7 2024

Granular Instrumental Variables

Xavier Gabaix; Ralph S. J. Koijen

Abstract

We develop a new method to construct instruments in a broad class of economic environments. In the economies we study, a few large firms, industries, or countries account for an important share of economic activity. Idiosyncratic shocks to these large players significantly affect aggregate outcomes and are valid instruments. We provide a methodology to extract these idiosyncratic shocks to create granular instrumental variables (GIVs), which are size-weighted sums of idiosyncratic shocks. We show how GIVs enable us to estimate causal parameters, such as elasticities and multipliers, and are applicable in a broad range of empirically relevant settings.

DOI
10.1086/728743
Volume
132
Issue
7
Pages
2274-2303
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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