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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 107 No. 6 1999

Information Sharing and Competition in the Motor Vehicle Industry

Maura P. Doyle1; Christopher M. Snyder2,3,4

1 Federal Reserve Board of Governors · 2 Dartmouth College · 3 National Bureau of Economic Research · 4 George Washington University

open access

Abstract

Up to six months ahead of actual production, U.S. automakers announce plans for their monthly domestic production of cars. A leading industry trade journal publishes the initial plans and then a series of revisions leading up to the month in question. We analyze a panel data set spanning the years 1965–95, matching the production forecasts with data for actual monthly production. We show that a firm's plan announcement affects competitors' later revisions of their own plans and eventual production. The interaction appears to be complementary: large plans or upward revisions cause competitors to revise plans upward and increase production. The results are consistent with theoretical models in which firms share information about common demand parameters.

DOI
10.1086/250099
Volume
107
Issue
6
Pages
1326-1364
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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