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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 131 No. 8 2023

What Happened to US Business Dynamism?

Ufuk Akcigit1,2; Sina T. Ates3

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 Centre for Economic Policy Research · 3 Federal Reserve Board of Governors

Abstract

We attempt to understand potential common forces behind rising market concentration and a slowdown in business dynamism in the US economy, through a micro-founded general equilibrium model of endogenous firm dynamics. The model captures the strategic behavior between competing firms, its effect on their innovation decisions, and the resulting “best-versus-the-rest” dynamics. We consider multiple potential mechanisms that can drive the observed changes and use the calibrated model to assess their relative importance, with particular attention to the implied transitional dynamics. Our results highlight the dominant role of a decline in the intensity of knowledge diffusion from frontier firms to laggard ones. We present new evidence that corroborates a declining knowledge diffusion in the economy.

DOI
10.1086/724289
Volume
131
Issue
8
Pages
2059-2124
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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