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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 132 No. 5 2024

Persuasion for the Long Run

J. Allan Best1; Daniel Quigley2

1 Carnegie Mellon University · 2 University of Oxford

Abstract

We examine persuasion when the sole source of credibility today is a desire to maintain a public record for accuracy. A long-run sender plays a cheap talk game with a sequence of short-run receivers, who observe some record of feedback about past accuracy. When all feedback is public (as is standard in repeated games), persuasion frequently requires inefficient on-path punishment—even if accuracy is monitored perfectly. If instead the record publishes coarse summary statistics (as is common online), any communication equilibrium the sender prefers to one-shot cheap talk—including Bayesian persuasion—can be supported without cost.

DOI
10.1086/727282
Volume
132
Issue
5
Pages
1740-1791
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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