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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 127 No. 5 2019

Shocks versus Responsiveness: What Drives Time-Varying Dispersion?

David Berger; Joseph Vavra

National Bureau of Economic Research

Abstract

The dispersion of many economic variables is countercyclical. What drives this fact? Greater dispersion could arise from greater volatility of shocks or from agents responding more to shocks of constant size. Without data separately measuring exogenous shocks and endogenous responses, a theoretical debate between these explanations has emerged. In this paper, we provide novel identification using price data in the open-economy environment: using confidential BLS microdata, we document a robust positive relationship between exchange rate pass-through and the dispersion of item-level price changes. We then show that this relationship supports models with time-varying responsiveness.

DOI
10.1086/701790
Volume
127
Issue
5
Pages
2104-2142
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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