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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 123 No. 1 2015

Leverage and the Foreclosure Crisis

Dean Corbae1,2; Erwan Quintin2

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 University of Wisconsin–Madison

Abstract

How much of the foreclosure crisis can be explained by the large number of high-leverage mortgages originated during the housing boom? In our model, heterogeneous households select from mortgages with different down payments and choose whether to default given income and housing shocks. The use of low–down payment loans is initially limited by payment-to-income requirements but becomes unrestricted during the boom. The model approximates key housing and mortgage market facts before and after the crisis. A counterfactual experiment suggests that the increased number of high-leverage loans originated prior to the crisis can explain over 60 percent of the rise in foreclosure rates.

DOI
10.1086/677349
Volume
123
Issue
1
Pages
1-65
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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