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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 132 No. 4 2024

Repricing Avalanches

Makoto Nirei1; José A. Scheinkman2,3

1 The University of Tokyo · 2 National Bureau of Economic Research · 3 Princeton University

Abstract

We present a menu-cost pricing model with a large but finite number n of firms. A firm’s nominal price increase lowers other firms’ relative prices, thereby inducing further nominal price increases. The distribution of these “repricing avalanches” converges as n→∞ to a mixture of generalized Poisson distributions with an indexofdispersion=1/(1−θ)2, where θ is determined by the equilibrium of the continuous limit. We calibrate the model to the US experience during 1988–2005 and obtain a θ surprisingly close to unity. Our model accounts for the positive relationship between inflation level and volatility observed in the data.

DOI
10.1086/727286
Volume
132
Issue
4
Pages
1327-1388
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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