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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 111 No. 3 2003

Welfare Dynamics under Time Limits

Jeffrey Grogger1,2; Charles Michalopoulos3

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 University of California, Los Angeles · 3 Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation

Abstract

Among the most important changes brought about by the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996 are time limits, which provide consumers with an incentive to conserve their welfare benefits for future use. Among forward‐looking, expected‐utility‐maximizing consumers who face liquidity constraints and earnings uncertainty, economic theory predicts that the incentive to conserve should be strongest among families with the youngest children. We test this prediction using data from Florida’s Family Transition Program, a randomized welfare reform experiment. Our estimates generally exhibit the predicted age dependence, which suggests that time limits affect welfare use before they become binding. Our estimates indicate that, in the absence of other reforms that increased welfare use, FTP’s time limit would have reduced welfare receipt by 16 percent.

DOI
10.1086/374181
Volume
111
Issue
3
Pages
530-554
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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