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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 119 No. 6 2011

Do Powerful Politicians Cause Corporate Downsizing?

Lauren Cohen1,2; Joshua Coval1,2; Christopher J. Malloy1,2

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 Harvard University

open access

Abstract

This paper employs a new empirical approach for identifying the impact of government spending on the private sector. Our key innovation is to use changes in congressional committee chairmanships as a source of exogenous variation in state-level federal expenditures. We show that fiscal spending shocks appear to significantly dampen corporate investment activity. This retrenchment occurs within large and small states and is most pronounced among geographically concentrated firms. The effects are economically meaningful, and the mechanism--entirely distinct from interest rate and tax channels--suggests new considerations in assessing the impact of government spending on private-sector economic activity.

DOI
10.1086/664820
Volume
119
Issue
6
Pages
1015-1060
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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