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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 132 No. 2 2024

The Human Capital–Reproductive Capital Trade-Off in Marriage Market Matching

Corinne Low

William P. Wharton Trust

Abstract

Throughout the twentieth century, the relationship between women’s human capital and men’s income was nonmonotonic: while college-educated women married richer spouses than high school–educated women, graduate-educated women married poorer spouses than college-educated women. This can be rationalized by a bidimensional matching framework where women’s human capital is negatively correlated with another valuable trait: fertility, or reproductive capital. Such a model predicts nonmonotonicity in income matching with a sufficiently high income distribution of men. A simulation of the model using US Census fertility and income data shows that it can also predict the recent transition to more assortative matching as desired family sizes have fallen.

DOI
10.1086/726238
Volume
132
Issue
2
Pages
552-576
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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