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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 129 No. 5 2021

Human Capital Investments and Expectations about Career and Family

Matthew Wiswall1,2; Basit Zafar1,2

1 University of Wisconsin–Madison · 2 University of Michigan–Ann Arbor

open access

Abstract

We conducted a survey of high-ability college students and elicited beliefs about how their choice of major, and of whether to complete their degree, would affect an array of future events: earnings, employment, marriage prospects, potential spousal characteristics, and fertility. We find that students perceive large “returns” to human capital not only in their own future earnings but also in other dimensions (e.g., potential spouse’s earnings and fertility). We find evidence of students sorting into majors on the basis of these perceived returns. Family expectations are particularly important for female students’ major choices. In a follow-up survey conducted 6 years after the initial data collection, we find a close connection between expectations and current realizations.

DOI
10.1086/713100
Volume
129
Issue
5
Pages
1361-1424
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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