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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 126 No. 3 2018

Attack When the World Is Not Watching? US News and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Ruben Durante1,2,3; Ekaterina Zhuravskaya2,4,5

1 Universitat Pompeu Fabra · 2 Centre for Economic Policy Research · 3 Barcelona School of Economics · 4 Paris School of Economics · 5 École des hautes études en sciences sociales

Abstract

Politicians may strategically time unpopular measures to coincide with newsworthy events that distract the media and the public. We test this hypothesis in the context of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. We find that Israeli attacks are more likely to occur when US news on the following day is dominated by important predictable events. Strategic timing applies to attacks that bear risk of civilian casualties and are not too costly to postpone. Content analysis suggests that Israel’s strategy aims at minimizing next-day coverage, which is especially charged with negative emotional content. Palestinian attacks do not appear to be timed to US news.

DOI
10.1086/697202
Volume
126
Issue
3
Pages
1085-1133
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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