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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 128 No. 9 2020

Understanding How Low Levels of Early Lead Exposure Affect Children’s Life Trajectories

Hans Grönqvist1,2; J. Peter Nilsson3; Per-Olof Robling3

1 Uppsala University · 2 Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy · 3 Stockholm University

Abstract

We study the impact of lead exposure from birth to adulthood and provide evidence on the mechanisms producing these effects. Following 800,000 children differentially exposed to the phaseout of leaded gasoline in Sweden, we find that even a low exposure affects long-run outcomes, that boys are more affected, and that changes in noncognitive skills explain a sizeable share of the impact on crime and human capital. The effects are greater above exposure thresholds still relevant for the general population, and reductions in exposure equivalent to the magnitude of the recent redefinition of elevated blood lead levels can increase earnings by 4%.

DOI
10.1086/708725
Volume
128
Issue
9
Pages
3376-3433
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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