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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 116 No. 4 2008

Child Protection and Adult Crime: Using Investigator Assignment to Estimate Causal Effects of Foster Care

Joseph J. Doyle Jr.

open access

Abstract

This paper uses the randomization of families to child protection investigators to estimate causal effects of foster care on adult crime. The analysis uses a new data set that links criminal justice data to child protection data in Illinois, and I find that investigators affect foster care placement. Children on the margin of placement are found to be two to three times more likely to enter the criminal justice system as adults if they were placed in foster care. One innovation describes the types of children on the margin of placement, a group that is more likely to include African Americans, girls, and young adolescents.

DOI
10.1086/590216
Volume
116
Issue
4
Pages
746-770
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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