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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 107 No. 1 1999

Taxes and the Timing of Births

Stacy Dickert‐Conlin1; Amitabh Chandra2

1 Syracuse University · 2 University of Kentucky

Abstract

Because the tax savings of having a child are a realized only if the birth takes place before midnight, January 1, the incentives for the "marginal" birth are substantial. Using a sample of children from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we find that the probability that a child is born in the last week of December, rather than the first week of January, is positively correlated with tax benefits. We estimate that increasing the tax benefit of having a child by $500 raises the probability of having the child in the last week of December by 26.9 percent.

DOI
10.1086/250054
Volume
107
Issue
1
Pages
161-177
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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