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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 129 No. 7 2021

Planning Ahead for Better Neighborhoods: Long-Run Evidence from Tanzania

Guy Michaels1; Dzhamilya Nigmatulina1; Ferdinand Rauch2; Tanner Regan1; Neeraj Baruah1; Amanda Dahlstrand

1 London School of Economics and Political Science · 2 University of Oxford

open access

Abstract

Africa?s demand for urban housing is soaring, even as it faces a proliferation of slums. In this setting, can modest infrastructure investments in greenfield areas where people subsequently build their own houses facilitate long-run neighborhood development? We study Sites and Services projects implemented in seven Tanzanian cities during the 1970s and 1980s, and we use a spatial regression discontinuity design to compare greenfield areas that were treated (de novo) with nearby greenfield areas that were not. We find that by the 2010s, de novo areas developed into neighborhoods with larger, more regularly laid-out buildings and better-quality housing.

DOI
10.1086/714119
Volume
129
Issue
7
Pages
2112-2156
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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