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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 128 No. 6 2020

Long-Term-Care Utility and Late-in-Life Saving

John Ameriks1; Joseph Briggs2; Andrew Caplin3; Matthew D. Shapiro3; Christopher Tonetti3

1 Vanguard (United States) · 2 Federal Reserve Board of Governors · 3 National Bureau of Economic Research

Abstract

Older wealth holders spend down assets much more slowly than predicted by classic life-cycle models. This paper introduces health-dependent utility into a model with incomplete markets in which preferences for bequests, expenditures when in need of long-term care, and ordinary consumption combine with health and longevity uncertainty to explain saving behavior. To sharply identify motives, it develops strategic survey questions (SSQs) that elicit stated preferences. The model is estimated using these SSQs and wealth data from the Vanguard Research Initiative. The desire to self-insure against long-term-care risk explains a substantial fraction of the wealth holding of many older Americans.

DOI
10.1086/706686
Volume
128
Issue
6
Pages
2375-2451
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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