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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 129 No. 5 2021

East-Side Story: Historical Pollution and Persistent Neighborhood Sorting

Stephan Heblich1; Alex Trew2,3; Yanos Zylberberg4,5

1 University of Toronto · 2 University of St Andrews · 3 University of Glasgow · 4 Visa (United Kingdom) · 5 University of Bristol

open access

Abstract

Why are the east sides of formerly industrial cities more deprived? To answer this question, we use individual-level census data and create historical pollution patterns derived from the locations of 5,000 industrial chimneys and an atmospheric model. We show that this observation results from path-dependent neighborhood sorting that began during the Industrial Revolution, as prevailing winds blew pollution eastward. Past pollution explains up to 20% of observed neighborhood segregation in 2011, even though coal pollution stopped in the 1970s. We develop a quantitative model to identify the role of neighborhood effects and relocation rigidities underlying this persistence.

DOI
10.1086/713101
Volume
129
Issue
5
Pages
1508-1552
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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