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Management Science Vol. 62 No. 3 2016

Liking and Following and the Newsvendor: Operations and Marketing Policies Under Social Influence

Ming Hu1; Joseph Milner1; Jiahua Wu2

1 Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 3E6, Canada · 2 Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom

open access

Abstract

We consider a monopolistic firm selling two substitutable products to a stream of sequential arrivals whose purchase decisions can be influenced by earlier purchases. Before demand realizes, the firm faces a newsvendor problem for the two products with economies of scale in production for each. When consumers are responsive to others’ decisions, social influence amplifies demand uncertainty, leading to a lower profit for the firm. We propose three solutions for the firm to better cope with or even benefit from social influence: influencer recruitment and a reduced product assortment either before demand realization (ex ante) or under production postponement (ex post). First, the firm can offer promotional incentives to recruit consumers as influencers. We reveal an operational benefit of influencer marketing that a very small fraction of such influencers is sufficient to diminish sales’ unpredictability. Second, as the potential substitutability between products increases due to social influence, the firm may leverage the increased substitutability and enjoy lower cost in production by reducing product assortment before demand realization. Last, under production postponement, the firm can take advantage of the way that social influence results in demand herding and reduce product varieties by reacting to preorder information.

DOI
10.1287/mnsc.2015.2160
Volume
62
Issue
3
Pages
867-879
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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