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Journal of Finance Vol. 55 No. 5 2000

Price Momentum and Trading Volume

Charles M. C. Lee1,2,3; Bhaskaran Swaminathan1,2,3

1 Cornell University · 2 Johnson University · 3 University of Illinois Chicago

Abstract

This study shows that past trading volume provides an important link between “momentum” and “value” strategies. Specifically, we find that firms with high (low) past turnover ratios exhibit many glamour (value) characteristics, earn lower (higher) future returns, and have consistently more negative (positive) earnings surprises over the next eight quarters. Past trading volume also predicts both the magnitude and persistence of price momentum. Specifically, price momentum effects reverse over the next five years, and high (low) volume winners (losers) experience faster reversals. Collectively, our findings show that past volume helps to reconcile intermediate‐horizon “underreaction” and long‐horizon “overreaction” effects.

DOI
10.1111/0022-1082.00280
Volume
55
Issue
5
Pages
2017-2069
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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