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Management Science Vol. 57 No. 6 2011

Loss Aversion with a State-Dependent Reference Point

Enrico G. De Giorgi1; Thierry Post2

1 School of Economics and Political Science, University of St. Gallen, 9000 St. Gallen, Switzerland · 2 Graduate School of Business, Koç University, 34450 Istanbul-Sarıyer, Turkey

open access

Abstract

This study investigates reference-dependent choice with a stochastic, state-dependent reference point. The optimal reference-dependent solution equals the optimal consumption solution (no loss aversion) if the reference point is selected fully endogenously. Given that loss aversion is widespread, we conclude that the reference point generally includes an important exogenously fixed component. We develop a choice model in which adjustment costs can cause stickiness relative to an initial, exogenous reference point. Using historical U.S. investment benchmark data, we show that this model is consistent with diversification across bonds and stocks for a wide range of evaluation horizons, despite the historically high-risk premium of stocks compared to bonds.

DOI
10.1287/mnsc.1110.1338
Volume
57
Issue
6
Pages
1094-1110
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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