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Review of Accounting Studies Vol. 29 No. 3 2024

Consensus credit ratings: a view from banks

Ben Lourie1; N. Bugra Ozel2; Alexander Nekrasov3; Chenqi Zhu1

1 University of California, Irvine · 2 University of Dallas · 3 University of Illinois Chicago

open access

Abstract

While the production of credit ratings has long been limited mainly to rating agencies (CRAs), recent years have seen the growing popularity of consensus credit ratings crowdsourced from banks (i.e., bank ratings). We provide the first comprehensive examination of the properties and informativeness of bank ratings relative to CRA ratings. We find that bank ratings often deviate from CRA ratings, with over 60% of firm-months having different bank and CRA ratings. These deviations contain useful information. Bank ratings improve out-of-sample prediction of defaults and CRA rating revisions and explain the cross-section of credit spreads. However, bank ratings do not improve out-of-sample prediction of credit excess returns, indicating that current prices incorporate bank rating information. Overall our findings suggest that bank ratings are a useful supplement to traditional credit ratings.

DOI
10.1007/s11142-024-09835-7
Volume
29
Issue
3
Pages
2391-2436
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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